Tuesday, September 11

The probability that the Americans are going to do a Beiruit has suddenly shot up

I am sitting here in the hotel room in Amsterdam and seeing the dark, dim and dingy weather reflected on the TV screen where General Petraeus is doing his second day of reporting the the US Congress. Perhaps the weather has translated into my mood.

And I was really disappointed, both sides of the story showed pathetic judgement and based upon the report, they have now made it clear that the American Beiruit syndrome is now much more probable.

What does that mean? Well, from about 2008 onwards, as soon as a relatively large accident happens, such as the loss of say a 100 US soldiers, the Americans will pull out, lock, stock and the 2000 million smoking barrels like they did after the Beiruit bombing in a matter of 2-3 months. And they will leave behind another Lebanon. The probability of this happening is now quite high, there is no political will to stay the course and sort Iraq out. Another brilliant strategic and tactical move on part of the Americans (both parties). And this will bleed and bleed and bleed.

Oh! what a mess, what a mess!

All this to be taken with a grain of piquant salt!!!

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